Trump's 2016 wins in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin were fueled by strong support among white-working class voters, many of whom had defected from previously backing Democratic presidential candidates. But with Democrats not collapsing with white voters in those states either last year or in recent statewide polling, Trump's Electoral College edge may either be severely curtailed or obliterated by the time the 2024 election rolls around...
Wednesday, September 13, 2023
Voter Concerns Over Abortion Are Shattering Trump's Electoral College Edge
So while many national polls are showing the 2024 race virtually tied between Biden and Trump — should the two men win their respective party nominations — Democrats have made headway in cutting into any GOP advantages in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. All three states were won by Trump in 2016 but flipped to Biden in 2020, and they are essential to the president's calculus for winning reelection next year.
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